Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.341344 0.445519 0.559071 0.690256 0.836036 0.991671 1.169070
2025-10-05 0.219433 0.361636 0.533119 0.746543 0.997954 1.278928 1.611468
2025-10-12 0.155054 0.311396 0.515225 0.781944 1.107516 1.480920 1.931824
2025-10-19 0.119351 0.287954 0.522935 0.842522 1.242747 1.710011 2.281823
2025-10-26 0.089372 0.263147 0.522079 0.886870 1.353927 1.907362 2.591994
2025-11-02 0.058449 0.226224 0.497890 0.896094 1.418098 2.046155 2.831604
2025-11-09 0.026091 0.169557 0.435111 0.846571 1.402864 2.085154 2.949885
2025-11-16 0.006802 0.119773 0.372137 0.789092 1.371670 2.100295 3.036003
2025-11-23 0.000791 0.091973 0.339291 0.770304 1.387936 2.171607 3.187578
2025-11-30 NaN 0.078026 0.328748 0.782949 1.445143 2.293416 3.399944
2025-12-07 NaN 0.060947 0.307462 0.776524 1.474694 2.379085 3.567215
2025-12-14 NaN 0.042259 0.276124 0.750685 1.475111 2.425967 3.685478
2025-12-21 NaN 0.039338 0.283942 0.791812 1.573731 2.604527 3.973599
2025-12-28 NaN 0.038948 0.298729 0.845454 1.691347 2.809259 4.296305
2026-01-04 NaN 0.036089 0.305632 0.885136 1.788590 2.987131 4.585148
2026-01-11 NaN 0.037890 0.326474 0.949169 1.921195 3.211524 4.932586
2026-01-18 NaN 0.036677 0.337787 0.996504 2.029686 3.404451 5.240779
2026-01-25 NaN 0.029460 0.328140 1.006266 2.083300 3.525248 5.458478
2026-02-01 NaN 0.015409 0.285500 0.953601 2.043671 3.521968 5.519186
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005411 0.241262 0.892346 1.987980 3.495086 5.548208
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001888 0.220042 0.872297 1.992369 3.547046 5.675981
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000882 0.215816 0.885792 2.047783 3.667650 5.891337
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000065 0.202371 0.878936 2.071113 3.744414 6.050308